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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 3 Aug 2025

20:00

Venue

Neo Quimica Arena

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Corinthians Win

58%

Corinthians

1.73

25%

Draw

3.95

17%

Fortaleza EC

5.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.3%

Home win

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Corinthians xG

Total xG

2.33

0.74

Fortaleza EC xG

58%
25%
17%
CorinthiansDrawFortaleza EC

1.73

58%

Home win

3.95

25%

Draw

5.87

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.39

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

48%

Corinthians

2.10

20%

Fortaleza EC

4.93

Win to Nil

28%

Corinthians

3.64

3%

Fortaleza EC

28.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 7.2 2.7 0.7 0.1
1 15.4 11.4 4.2 1.0 0.2
2 12.3 9.1 3.4 0.8 0.2
3 6.5 4.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
4 2.6 1.9 0.7 0.2
5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.595
λ Away (xG) 0.740
Total xG 2.335
League avg home goals 1.270
League avg away goals 0.921
Corinthians attack strength 0.969
Corinthians defence strength 0.964
Fortaleza EC attack strength 0.834
Fortaleza EC defence strength 1.296
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 54