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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Wed 16 Apr 2025

23:30

Venue

Neo Quimica Arena

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Corinthians Win

60%

Corinthians

1.66

28%

Draw

3.60

12%

Fluminense

8.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.8%

Home win

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Corinthians xG

Total xG

2.56

0.74

Fluminense xG

60%
28%
12%
CorinthiansDrawFluminense

1.66

60%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

8.40

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.15

53%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

48%

Corinthians

2.09

16%

Fluminense

6.15

Win to Nil

29%

Corinthians

3.47

2%

Fluminense

51.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 5.7 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 14.1 10.4 3.9 0.9 0.2
2 12.8 9.5 3.5 0.9 0.2
3 7.8 5.7 2.1 0.5 0.1
4 3.5 2.6 1.0 0.2
5 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.817
λ Away (xG) 0.739
Total xG 2.556
League avg home goals 1.413
League avg away goals 0.931
Corinthians attack strength 1.277
Corinthians defence strength 0.886
Fluminense attack strength 0.897
Fluminense defence strength 1.007
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41