Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Mon 29 Sep 2025

00:30

Venue

Neo Quimica Arena

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Flamengo Win

26%

Corinthians

3.85

29%

Draw

3.51

46%

Flamengo

2.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.90

Corinthians xG

Total xG

2.19

1.29

Flamengo xG

26%
29%
46%
CorinthiansDrawFlamengo

3.85

26%

Home win

3.51

29%

Draw

2.20

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.33

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

28%

Corinthians

3.62

41%

Flamengo

2.45

Win to Nil

7%

Corinthians

13.94

19%

Flamengo

5.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.2 14.5 9.3 4.0 1.3 0.3
1 10.1 13.0 8.4 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 4.5 5.8 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 1.4 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.898
λ Away (xG) 1.287
Total xG 2.185
League avg home goals 1.387
League avg away goals 1.040
Corinthians attack strength 0.853
Corinthians defence strength 1.024
Flamengo attack strength 1.209
Flamengo defence strength 0.758
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 61