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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 17 Aug 2025

01:00

Venue

Neo Quimica Arena

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Corinthians Win

38%

Corinthians

2.63

32%

Draw

3.11

30%

Bahia

3.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.7%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.5%

Draw

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Corinthians xG

Total xG

1.86

0.85

Bahia xG

38%
32%
30%
CorinthiansDrawBahia

2.63

38%

Home win

3.11

32%

Draw

3.36

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.73

63%

BTTS No

1.58

Clean Sheet

43%

Corinthians

2.35

36%

Bahia

2.74

Win to Nil

16%

Corinthians

6.17

11%

Bahia

9.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.5 13.3 5.7 1.6 0.3 0.1
1 15.7 13.4 5.7 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 7.9 6.7 2.9 0.8 0.2
3 2.7 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.009
λ Away (xG) 0.854
Total xG 1.863
League avg home goals 1.292
League avg away goals 1.043
Corinthians attack strength 0.928
Corinthians defence strength 0.943
Bahia attack strength 0.869
Bahia defence strength 0.841
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 55