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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ceara Win

43%

Ceara

2.31

32%

Draw

3.10

24%

Vitoria

4.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Ceara xG

Total xG

2.45

1.02

Vitoria xG

43%
32%
24%
CearaDrawVitoria

2.31

43%

Home win

3.10

32%

Draw

4.10

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.94

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

36%

Ceara

2.79

24%

Vitoria

4.14

Win to Nil

16%

Ceara

6.43

6%

Vitoria

16.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 8.9 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 12.3 12.6 6.5 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.7 9.0 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.1 4.2 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 1.5 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.421
λ Away (xG) 1.025
Total xG 2.446
League avg home goals 1.400
League avg away goals 0.871
Ceara attack strength 0.961
Ceara defence strength 1.062
Vitoria attack strength 1.109
Vitoria defence strength 1.056
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 6 / 44