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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Wed 16 Apr 2025

01:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ceara Win

53%

Ceara

1.88

32%

Draw

3.14

15%

Vasco DA Gama

6.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.7%

Home win

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Ceara xG

Total xG

2.41

0.80

Vasco DA Gama xG

53%
32%
15%
CearaDrawVasco DA Gama

1.88

53%

Home win

3.14

32%

Draw

6.65

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

45%

Ceara

2.22

20%

Vasco DA Gama

4.99

Win to Nil

24%

Ceara

4.18

3%

Vasco DA Gama

33.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 7.2 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 14.5 11.6 4.6 1.2 0.2
2 11.7 9.3 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 6.2 5.0 2.0 0.5 0.1
4 2.5 2.0 0.8 0.2
5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.608
λ Away (xG) 0.798
Total xG 2.406
League avg home goals 1.373
League avg away goals 0.907
Ceara attack strength 0.974
Ceara defence strength 1.003
Vasco DA Gama attack strength 0.877
Vasco DA Gama defence strength 1.201
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 3 / 41