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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Ceara cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Sport Recife.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Ceara beat Sport Recife 2-0 at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Regular Season - 9, in the Serie A. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Ceara 1.57 xG and Sport Recife 0.72 xG, a combined 2.29. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Ceara attack 0.92 / defence 0.97 against Sport Recife attack 0.87 / defence 1.21, drawn from 8/8 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Ceara 57% | Draw 27% | Sport Recife 16%, with Ceara to win its most likely call at 57%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 40%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 67% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 41% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.

💡 Key Insights