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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 17 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ceara Win

57%

Ceara

1.75

27%

Draw

3.77

16%

Sport Recife

6.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.5%

Home win

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Ceara xG

Total xG

2.29

0.72

Sport Recife xG

57%
27%
16%
CearaDrawSport Recife

1.75

57%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

6.13

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.42

59%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

49%

Ceara

2.06

21%

Sport Recife

4.83

Win to Nil

28%

Ceara

3.60

3%

Sport Recife

29.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.1 7.3 2.6 0.6 0.1
1 15.9 11.4 4.1 1.0 0.2
2 12.5 9.0 3.2 0.8 0.1
3 6.5 4.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
4 2.6 1.9 0.7 0.2
5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.574
λ Away (xG) 0.721
Total xG 2.295
League avg home goals 1.415
League avg away goals 0.848
Ceara attack strength 0.922
Ceara defence strength 0.974
Sport Recife attack strength 0.872
Sport Recife defence strength 1.206
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 8 / 8