Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 26 Apr 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ceara Win

40%

Ceara

2.50

34%

Draw

2.97

26%

Sao Paulo

3.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Ceara xG

Total xG

2.26

0.99

Sao Paulo xG

40%
34%
26%
CearaDrawSao Paulo

2.50

40%

Home win

2.97

34%

Draw

3.81

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

37%

Ceara

2.69

28%

Sao Paulo

3.55

Win to Nil

15%

Ceara

6.72

7%

Sao Paulo

13.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 10.4 5.1 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 13.3 13.1 6.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 8.4 8.3 4.1 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 3.5 3.5 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.267
λ Away (xG) 0.990
Total xG 2.257
League avg home goals 1.446
League avg away goals 0.894
Ceara attack strength 0.958
Ceara defence strength 1.043
Sao Paulo attack strength 1.061
Sao Paulo defence strength 0.915
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 5 / 43