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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Mon 6 Oct 2025

00:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Santos Win

35%

Ceara

2.89

30%

Draw

3.29

35%

Santos

2.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.2%

Away win

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Ceara xG

Total xG

2.05

1.03

Santos xG

35%
30%
35%
CearaDrawSantos

2.89

35%

Home win

3.29

30%

Draw

2.86

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.44

59%

BTTS No

1.70

Clean Sheet

36%

Ceara

2.79

36%

Santos

2.78

Win to Nil

12%

Ceara

8.05

13%

Santos

7.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.9 13.2 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 13.2 13.5 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 6.7 6.9 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 2.3 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.021
λ Away (xG) 1.026
Total xG 2.047
League avg home goals 1.389
League avg away goals 1.023
Ceara attack strength 0.632
Ceara defence strength 1.025
Santos attack strength 0.979
Santos defence strength 1.163
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 25 / 25