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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sun 7 Dec 2025

19:00

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palmeiras Win

27%

Ceara

3.76

27%

Draw

3.76

47%

Palmeiras

2.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.5%

Away win

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Ceara xG

Total xG

2.44

1.43

Palmeiras xG

27%
27%
47%
CearaDrawPalmeiras

3.76

27%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

2.14

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

24%

Ceara

4.19

36%

Palmeiras

2.75

Win to Nil

6%

Ceara

15.77

17%

Palmeiras

5.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 12.5 8.9 4.3 1.5 0.4
1 8.8 12.6 9.0 4.3 1.5 0.4
2 4.4 6.4 4.6 2.2 0.8 0.2
3 1.5 2.1 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.010
λ Away (xG) 1.433
Total xG 2.443
League avg home goals 1.499
League avg away goals 1.028
Ceara attack strength 0.745
Ceara defence strength 1.032
Palmeiras attack strength 1.350
Palmeiras defence strength 0.904
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 75