Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Wed 23 Jul 2025

23:00

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ceara Win

35%

Ceara

2.85

32%

Draw

3.09

32%

Mirassol

3.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

15.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

15.0%

Home win

0 – 1

14.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.95

Ceara xG

Total xG

1.84

0.90

Mirassol xG

35%
32%
32%
CearaDrawMirassol

2.85

35%

Home win

3.09

32%

Draw

3.08

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.76

64%

BTTS No

1.57

Clean Sheet

41%

Ceara

2.45

39%

Mirassol

2.58

Win to Nil

14%

Ceara

6.98

13%

Mirassol

7.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.8 14.2 6.4 1.9 0.4 0.1
1 15.0 13.4 6.0 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 7.1 6.4 2.9 0.9 0.2
3 2.2 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.947
λ Away (xG) 0.897
Total xG 1.844
League avg home goals 1.278
League avg away goals 0.878
Ceara attack strength 0.758
Ceara defence strength 1.017
Mirassol attack strength 1.005
Mirassol defence strength 0.977
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 14 / 13