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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Thu 6 Nov 2025

23:00

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ceara Win

44%

Ceara

2.26

29%

Draw

3.43

27%

Fortaleza EC

3.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

11.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Ceara xG

Total xG

2.13

0.89

Fortaleza EC xG

44%
29%
27%
CearaDrawFortaleza EC

2.26

44%

Home win

3.43

29%

Draw

3.76

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.39

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

41%

Ceara

2.43

29%

Fortaleza EC

3.45

Win to Nil

18%

Ceara

5.50

8%

Fortaleza EC

12.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.9 10.6 4.7 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 14.8 13.1 5.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.1 8.1 3.6 1.1 0.2
3 3.8 3.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.237
λ Away (xG) 0.889
Total xG 2.126
League avg home goals 1.413
League avg away goals 0.940
Ceara attack strength 0.764
Ceara defence strength 0.989
Fortaleza EC attack strength 0.956
Fortaleza EC defence strength 1.146
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 31 / 68