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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 3 Aug 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Flamengo Win

23%

Ceara

4.43

32%

Draw

3.14

46%

Flamengo

2.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

17.7%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.3%

Draw

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.72

Ceara xG

Total xG

1.88

1.15

Flamengo xG

23%
32%
46%
CearaDrawFlamengo

4.43

23%

Home win

3.14

32%

Draw

2.20

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.80

64%

BTTS No

1.55

Clean Sheet

32%

Ceara

3.17

49%

Flamengo

2.06

Win to Nil

7%

Ceara

14.04

22%

Flamengo

4.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.3 17.7 10.2 3.9 1.1 0.3
1 11.1 12.8 7.4 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 4.0 4.6 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
3 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.723
λ Away (xG) 1.154
Total xG 1.877
League avg home goals 1.255
League avg away goals 0.933
Ceara attack strength 0.699
Ceara defence strength 1.110
Flamengo attack strength 1.114
Flamengo defence strength 0.824
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 16 / 54