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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sun 30 Nov 2025

00:00

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cruzeiro Win

24%

Ceara

4.10

31%

Draw

3.24

45%

Cruzeiro

2.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

17.0%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.8%

Draw

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.76

Ceara xG

Total xG

1.91

1.15

Cruzeiro xG

24%
31%
45%
CearaDrawCruzeiro

4.10

24%

Home win

3.24

31%

Draw

2.24

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.75

64%

BTTS No

1.57

Clean Sheet

32%

Ceara

3.15

47%

Cruzeiro

2.14

Win to Nil

8%

Ceara

12.89

21%

Cruzeiro

4.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.8 17.0 9.7 3.7 1.1 0.2
1 11.3 13.0 7.4 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 4.3 4.9 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.763
λ Away (xG) 1.146
Total xG 1.909
League avg home goals 1.488
League avg away goals 0.997
Ceara attack strength 0.738
Ceara defence strength 1.064
Cruzeiro attack strength 1.081
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.695
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 35 / 73