Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 19 Oct 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Botafogo Win

31%

Ceara

3.20

33%

Draw

3.07

36%

Botafogo

2.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

16.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

15.4%

Away win

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.87

Ceara xG

Total xG

1.83

0.96

Botafogo xG

31%
33%
36%
CearaDrawBotafogo

3.20

31%

Home win

3.07

33%

Draw

2.76

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.79

64%

BTTS No

1.56

Clean Sheet

38%

Ceara

2.61

42%

Botafogo

2.38

Win to Nil

12%

Ceara

8.34

15%

Botafogo

6.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.1 15.4 7.4 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 14.0 13.4 6.4 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 6.1 5.8 2.8 0.9 0.2
3 1.8 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.868
λ Away (xG) 0.959
Total xG 1.827
League avg home goals 1.446
League avg away goals 1.020
Ceara attack strength 0.750
Ceara defence strength 0.945
Botafogo attack strength 0.994
Botafogo defence strength 0.801
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 66