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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sun 1 Jun 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ceara Win

46%

Ceara

2.16

32%

Draw

3.11

22%

Atletico-MG

4.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.5%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.6%

Draw

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Ceara xG

Total xG

1.92

0.73

Atletico-MG xG

46%
32%
22%
CearaDrawAtletico-MG

2.16

46%

Home win

3.11

32%

Draw

4.62

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.71

63%

BTTS No

1.59

Clean Sheet

48%

Ceara

2.07

30%

Atletico-MG

3.30

Win to Nil

22%

Ceara

4.48

7%

Atletico-MG

15.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.6 10.6 3.9 0.9 0.2
1 17.5 12.7 4.6 1.1 0.2
2 10.4 7.6 2.8 0.7 0.1
3 4.2 3.0 1.1 0.3
4 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.195
λ Away (xG) 0.728
Total xG 1.923
League avg home goals 1.280
League avg away goals 0.859
Ceara attack strength 0.978
Ceara defence strength 0.908
Atletico-MG attack strength 0.933
Atletico-MG defence strength 0.955
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 9 / 48