Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Wed 5 Nov 2025

22:30

Venue

Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vasco DA Gama Win

30%

Botafogo

3.35

23%

Draw

4.36

47%

Vasco DA Gama

2.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

0 – 1

7.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Botafogo xG

Total xG

3.20

1.80

Vasco DA Gama xG

30%
23%
47%
BotafogoDrawVasco DA Gama

3.35

30%

Home win

4.36

23%

Draw

2.12

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.70

Clean Sheet

16%

Botafogo

6.08

25%

Vasco DA Gama

4.04

Win to Nil

5%

Botafogo

20.34

12%

Vasco DA Gama

8.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 7.3 6.6 4.0 1.8 0.6
1 5.7 10.3 9.3 5.6 2.5 0.9
2 4.0 7.2 6.5 3.9 1.8 0.6
3 1.8 3.3 3.0 1.8 0.8 0.3
4 0.6 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.397
λ Away (xG) 1.805
Total xG 3.202
League avg home goals 1.396
League avg away goals 0.954
Botafogo attack strength 1.057
Botafogo defence strength 1.306
Vasco DA Gama attack strength 1.449
Vasco DA Gama defence strength 0.947
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69