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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Tue 18 Nov 2025

23:30

Venue

Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Botafogo Win

66%

Botafogo

1.52

21%

Draw

4.82

14%

Sport Recife

7.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.7%

Home win

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.95

Botafogo xG

Total xG

2.71

0.76

Sport Recife xG

66%
21%
14%
BotafogoDrawSport Recife

1.52

66%

Home win

4.82

21%

Draw

7.35

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.20

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

47%

Botafogo

2.13

14%

Sport Recife

7.06

Win to Nil

31%

Botafogo

3.24

2%

Sport Recife

51.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 13.0 9.8 3.7 0.9 0.2
2 12.7 9.6 3.6 0.9 0.2
3 8.3 6.3 2.4 0.6 0.1
4 4.0 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
5 1.6 1.2 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.954
λ Away (xG) 0.755
Total xG 2.709
League avg home goals 1.399
League avg away goals 0.993
Botafogo attack strength 1.136
Botafogo defence strength 1.133
Sport Recife attack strength 0.671
Sport Recife defence strength 1.229
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 33