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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 26 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Botafogo Win

56%

Botafogo

1.80

22%

Draw

4.46

22%

Santos

4.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.88

Botafogo xG

Total xG

2.98

1.10

Santos xG

56%
22%
22%
BotafogoDrawSantos

1.80

56%

Home win

4.46

22%

Draw

4.55

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

33%

Botafogo

3.01

15%

Santos

6.56

Win to Nil

18%

Botafogo

5.41

3%

Santos

29.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 5.6 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 9.5 10.5 5.8 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.0 9.9 5.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
3 5.6 6.2 3.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 2.6 2.9 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.881
λ Away (xG) 1.101
Total xG 2.982
League avg home goals 1.432
League avg away goals 0.964
Botafogo attack strength 1.033
Botafogo defence strength 1.242
Santos attack strength 0.919
Santos defence strength 1.271
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 28