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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

22:30

Venue

Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Botafogo Win

45%

Botafogo

2.21

28%

Draw

3.54

26%

RB Bragantino

3.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

10.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Botafogo xG

Total xG

2.22

0.92

RB Bragantino xG

45%
28%
26%
BotafogoDrawRB Bragantino

2.21

45%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

3.79

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.28

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

40%

Botafogo

2.51

27%

RB Bragantino

3.68

Win to Nil

18%

Botafogo

5.54

7%

RB Bragantino

13.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.8 10.0 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 14.1 13.0 6.0 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.2 8.5 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 4.0 3.7 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.302
λ Away (xG) 0.922
Total xG 2.224
League avg home goals 1.326
League avg away goals 1.110
Botafogo attack strength 0.897
Botafogo defence strength 0.946
RB Bragantino attack strength 0.877
RB Bragantino defence strength 1.095
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 59