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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Wed 17 Sep 2025

23:30

Venue

Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Botafogo Win

38%

Botafogo

2.66

29%

Draw

3.41

33%

Mirassol

3.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

0 – 1

11.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Botafogo xG

Total xG

2.17

1.04

Mirassol xG

38%
29%
33%
BotafogoDrawMirassol

2.66

38%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

3.02

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.28

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

35%

Botafogo

2.84

32%

Mirassol

3.10

Win to Nil

13%

Botafogo

7.55

11%

Mirassol

9.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.4 11.9 6.2 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 12.9 13.4 7.0 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.3 7.6 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 2.7 2.9 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.131
λ Away (xG) 1.043
Total xG 2.174
League avg home goals 1.352
League avg away goals 1.094
Botafogo attack strength 1.077
Botafogo defence strength 0.962
Mirassol attack strength 0.991
Mirassol defence strength 0.777
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 21