Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sat 22 Nov 2025

22:30

Venue

Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Botafogo Win

55%

Botafogo

1.83

22%

Draw

4.59

24%

Gremio

4.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.97

Botafogo xG

Total xG

3.20

1.23

Gremio xG

55%
22%
24%
BotafogoDrawGremio

1.83

55%

Home win

4.59

22%

Draw

4.25

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.55

Clean Sheet

29%

Botafogo

3.41

14%

Gremio

7.17

Win to Nil

16%

Botafogo

6.25

3%

Gremio

30.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 5.0 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 8.0 9.9 6.1 2.5 0.8 0.2
2 7.9 9.7 6.0 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 5.2 6.4 3.9 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 2.6 3.1 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 1.0 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.970
λ Away (xG) 1.228
Total xG 3.198
League avg home goals 1.423
League avg away goals 1.025
Botafogo attack strength 1.176
Botafogo defence strength 1.212
Gremio attack strength 0.988
Gremio defence strength 1.177
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72