Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

01:00

Venue

Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Botafogo Win

41%

Botafogo

2.44

35%

Draw

2.83

24%

Fluminense

4.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

10.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Botafogo xG

Total xG

2.21

0.93

Fluminense xG

41%
35%
24%
BotafogoDrawFluminense

2.44

41%

Home win

2.83

35%

Draw

4.23

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

39%

Botafogo

2.54

28%

Fluminense

3.60

Win to Nil

16%

Botafogo

6.20

7%

Fluminense

15.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.9 10.2 4.8 1.5 0.3 0.1
1 14.0 13.1 6.1 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 9.0 8.4 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 3.8 3.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.280
λ Away (xG) 0.932
Total xG 2.212
League avg home goals 1.430
League avg away goals 0.895
Botafogo attack strength 1.070
Botafogo defence strength 1.004
Fluminense attack strength 1.037
Fluminense defence strength 0.837
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43