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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Wed 15 Oct 2025

23:30

Venue

Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Flamengo Win

33%

Botafogo

2.99

27%

Draw

3.70

39%

Flamengo

2.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Botafogo xG

Total xG

2.48

1.30

Flamengo xG

33%
27%
39%
BotafogoDrawFlamengo

2.99

33%

Home win

3.70

27%

Draw

2.53

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.98

50%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

27%

Botafogo

3.68

31%

Flamengo

3.25

Win to Nil

9%

Botafogo

10.99

12%

Flamengo

8.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 10.9 7.1 3.1 1.0 0.3
1 9.9 12.8 8.4 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 5.8 7.6 4.9 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.3 3.0 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.178
λ Away (xG) 1.303
Total xG 2.481
League avg home goals 1.434
League avg away goals 1.023
Botafogo attack strength 1.112
Botafogo defence strength 1.077
Flamengo attack strength 1.183
Flamengo defence strength 0.739
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 64