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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 3 Aug 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Botafogo Win

36%

Botafogo

2.80

32%

Draw

3.09

32%

Cruzeiro

3.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

15.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

14.8%

Home win

0 – 1

13.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.98

Botafogo xG

Total xG

1.89

0.91

Cruzeiro xG

36%
32%
32%
BotafogoDrawCruzeiro

2.80

36%

Home win

3.09

32%

Draw

3.13

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.67

63%

BTTS No

1.60

Clean Sheet

40%

Botafogo

2.48

38%

Cruzeiro

2.66

Win to Nil

14%

Botafogo

6.95

12%

Cruzeiro

8.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.2 13.8 6.3 1.9 0.4 0.1
1 14.8 13.5 6.1 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 7.2 6.6 3.0 0.9 0.2
3 2.4 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.977
λ Away (xG) 0.908
Total xG 1.885
League avg home goals 1.270
League avg away goals 0.921
Botafogo attack strength 1.149
Botafogo defence strength 0.938
Cruzeiro attack strength 1.052
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.670
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 55