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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sun 12 Apr 2026

20:00

Venue

Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Botafogo Win

48%

Botafogo

2.10

24%

Draw

4.14

28%

Coritiba

3.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

7.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Botafogo xG

Total xG

3.15

1.35

Coritiba xG

48%
24%
28%
BotafogoDrawCoritiba

2.10

48%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

3.54

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.66

Clean Sheet

26%

Botafogo

3.85

16%

Coritiba

6.07

Win to Nil

12%

Botafogo

8.08

5%

Coritiba

21.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 5.8 3.9 1.7 0.6 0.2
1 7.7 10.4 7.0 3.2 1.1 0.3
2 7.0 9.4 6.3 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 4.2 5.6 3.8 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.9 2.5 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.803
λ Away (xG) 1.348
Total xG 3.151
League avg home goals 1.488
League avg away goals 1.013
Botafogo attack strength 1.232
Botafogo defence strength 1.278
Coritiba attack strength 1.041
Coritiba defence strength 0.983
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 10