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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 26 Jul 2025

22:30

Venue

Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Botafogo Win

58%

Botafogo

1.71

25%

Draw

3.98

16%

Corinthians

6.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.8%

Home win

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Botafogo xG

Total xG

2.27

0.70

Corinthians xG

58%
25%
16%
BotafogoDrawCorinthians

1.71

58%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

6.11

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.51

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

50%

Botafogo

2.01

21%

Corinthians

4.83

Win to Nil

29%

Botafogo

3.43

3%

Corinthians

29.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.3 7.2 2.5 0.6 0.1
1 16.3 11.3 3.9 0.9 0.2
2 12.8 8.9 3.1 0.7 0.1
3 6.7 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 2.6 1.8 0.6 0.1
5 0.8 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.575
λ Away (xG) 0.696
Total xG 2.271
League avg home goals 1.248
League avg away goals 0.924
Botafogo attack strength 1.210
Botafogo defence strength 0.911
Corinthians attack strength 0.828
Corinthians defence strength 1.043
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 54