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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Thu 5 Jun 2025

00:00

Venue

Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Botafogo Win

66%

Botafogo

1.51

23%

Draw

4.29

11%

Ceara

9.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

15.0%

Home win

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Botafogo xG

Total xG

2.38

0.58

Ceara xG

66%
23%
BotafogoDrawCeara

1.51

66%

Home win

4.29

23%

Draw

9.45

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.67

62%

BTTS No

1.60

Clean Sheet

56%

Botafogo

1.79

17%

Ceara

6.04

Win to Nil

37%

Botafogo

2.70

2%

Ceara

57.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 5.4 1.6 0.3
1 16.6 9.7 2.8 0.5 0.1
2 15.0 8.7 2.5 0.5 0.1
3 9.0 5.2 1.5 0.3
4 4.0 2.3 0.7 0.1
5 1.5 0.8 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.799
λ Away (xG) 0.581
Total xG 2.380
League avg home goals 1.276
League avg away goals 0.859
Botafogo attack strength 1.311
Botafogo defence strength 0.845
Ceara attack strength 0.800
Ceara defence strength 1.075
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 10