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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sun 18 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Arena Fonte Nova

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bahia Win

46%

Bahia

2.15

31%

Draw

3.19

22%

Vitoria

4.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.7%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.5%

Draw

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Bahia xG

Total xG

2.00

0.77

Vitoria xG

46%
31%
22%
BahiaDrawVitoria

2.15

46%

Home win

3.19

31%

Draw

4.51

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.58

61%

BTTS No

1.63

Clean Sheet

46%

Bahia

2.15

29%

Vitoria

3.44

Win to Nil

22%

Bahia

4.63

6%

Vitoria

15.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.5 10.4 4.0 1.0 0.2
1 16.7 12.8 4.9 1.3 0.2
2 10.3 7.9 3.0 0.8 0.1
3 4.2 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.235
λ Away (xG) 0.766
Total xG 2.001
League avg home goals 1.442
League avg away goals 0.835
Bahia attack strength 0.860
Bahia defence strength 0.910
Vitoria attack strength 1.007
Vitoria defence strength 0.996
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46