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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Wed 3 Dec 2025

23:00

Venue

Arena Fonte Nova

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bahia Win

73%

Bahia

1.36

17%

Draw

5.72

9%

Sport Recife

10.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

14.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

3 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.19

Bahia xG

Total xG

2.81

0.62

Sport Recife xG

73%
17%
BahiaDrawSport Recife

1.36

73%

Home win

5.72

17%

Draw

10.94

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.43

59%

BTTS No

1.70

Clean Sheet

54%

Bahia

1.86

11%

Sport Recife

8.91

Win to Nil

39%

Bahia

2.54

1%

Sport Recife

97.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 3.8 1.2 0.2
1 13.2 8.2 2.6 0.5 0.1
2 14.4 9.0 2.8 0.6 0.1
3 10.5 6.5 2.0 0.4 0.1
4 5.7 3.6 1.1 0.2
5 2.5 1.6 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.187
λ Away (xG) 0.623
Total xG 2.810
League avg home goals 1.493
League avg away goals 1.014
Bahia attack strength 1.099
Bahia defence strength 0.860
Sport Recife attack strength 0.714
Sport Recife defence strength 1.333
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 36