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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Bahia Win
44%
2.28
33%
3.03
23%
4.34
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.4%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
13.8%
Draw
1 – 1
13.0%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.19
Bahia xG
Total xG
1.98
0.79
Sao Paulo xG
BahiaDrawSao Paulo
2.28
44%
Home win
3.03
33%
Draw
4.34
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
59%
Over 1.5
1.69
41%
Under 1.5
2.44
32%
Over 2.5
3.12
68%
Under 2.5
1.47
14%
Over 3.5
7.14
86%
Under 3.5
1.16
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
39%
BTTS Yes
2.54
61%
BTTS No
1.65
Clean Sheet
45%
2.20
30%
3.29
Win to Nil
20%
5.02
7%
14.27
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.8 | 10.9 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 16.4 | 13.0 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 9.8 | 7.7 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 3.9 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.190
λ Away (xG)
0.790
Total xG
1.980
League avg home goals
1.321
League avg away goals
0.843
Bahia attack strength
0.983
Bahia defence strength
0.936
Sao Paulo attack strength
1.000
Sao Paulo defence strength
0.916
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
48 / 48