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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 27 Jul 2025

22:30

Venue

Arena Fonte Nova

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bahia Win

75%

Bahia

1.33

16%

Draw

6.19

9%

Juventude

11.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

3 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.34

Bahia xG

Total xG

3.00

0.66

Juventude xG

75%
16%
BahiaDrawJuventude

1.33

75%

Home win

6.19

16%

Draw

11.56

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.30

57%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

52%

Bahia

1.93

10%

Juventude

10.38

Win to Nil

39%

Bahia

2.56

1%

Juventude

120.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 3.3 1.1 0.2
1 11.7 7.7 2.5 0.5 0.1
2 13.7 9.0 2.9 0.6 0.1
3 10.7 7.0 2.3 0.5 0.1
4 6.3 4.1 1.3 0.3
5 2.9 1.9 0.6 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.340
λ Away (xG) 0.655
Total xG 2.995
League avg home goals 1.269
League avg away goals 0.942
Bahia attack strength 1.141
Bahia defence strength 0.941
Juventude attack strength 0.738
Juventude defence strength 1.616
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52