Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Wed 22 Oct 2025

23:00

Venue

Arena Fonte Nova

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bahia Win

69%

Bahia

1.46

18%

Draw

5.42

13%

Internacional

7.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.23

Bahia xG

Total xG

3.07

0.85

Internacional xG

69%
18%
13%
BahiaDrawInternacional

1.46

69%

Home win

5.42

18%

Draw

7.76

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

43%

Bahia

2.33

11%

Internacional

9.25

Win to Nil

29%

Bahia

3.40

1%

Internacional

71.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 3.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 10.3 8.7 3.7 1.0 0.2
2 11.5 9.7 4.1 1.2 0.2
3 8.5 7.2 3.1 0.9 0.2
4 4.7 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
5 2.1 1.8 0.8 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.225
λ Away (xG) 0.847
Total xG 3.072
League avg home goals 1.451
League avg away goals 0.993
Bahia attack strength 1.253
Bahia defence strength 0.791
Internacional attack strength 1.079
Internacional defence strength 1.224
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66