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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

01:00

Venue

Arena Fonte Nova

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

37%

Bahia

2.72

40%

Draw

2.49

23%

Botafogo

4.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

20.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

18.9%

Home win

0 – 1

13.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.90

Bahia xG

Total xG

1.56

0.66

Botafogo xG

37%
40%
23%
BahiaDrawBotafogo

2.72

37%

Home win

2.49

40%

Draw

4.35

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

46%

Over 1.5

2.17

54%

Under 1.5

1.85

21%

Over 2.5

4.76

79%

Under 2.5

1.27

7%

Over 3.5

14.29

93%

Under 3.5

1.08

2%

Over 4.5

50.00

98%

Under 4.5

1.02

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

31%

BTTS Yes

3.21

69%

BTTS No

1.45

Clean Sheet

52%

Bahia

1.94

41%

Botafogo

2.46

Win to Nil

19%

Bahia

5.26

9%

Botafogo

10.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 20.9 13.9 4.6 1.0 0.2
1 18.9 12.5 4.1 0.9 0.2
2 8.5 5.6 1.9 0.4 0.1
3 2.6 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 0.6 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.902
λ Away (xG) 0.662
Total xG 1.564
League avg home goals 1.425
League avg away goals 0.874
Bahia attack strength 0.829
Bahia defence strength 0.946
Botafogo attack strength 0.801
Botafogo defence strength 0.764
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44