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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Bahia Win
44%
2.29
32%
3.14
25%
4.08
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.9%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
13.4%
Draw
1 – 1
13.1%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.19
Bahia xG
Total xG
2.01
0.82
Atletico-MG xG
BahiaDrawAtletico-MG
2.29
44%
Home win
3.14
32%
Draw
4.08
25%
Away win
Goals Markets
60%
Over 1.5
1.67
40%
Under 1.5
2.50
33%
Over 2.5
3.03
67%
Under 2.5
1.49
15%
Over 3.5
6.67
85%
Under 3.5
1.18
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
40%
BTTS Yes
2.51
60%
BTTS No
1.66
Clean Sheet
44%
2.28
30%
3.29
Win to Nil
19%
5.21
7%
13.42
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.4 | 11.0 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – |
| 1 | 15.9 | 13.1 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 9.5 | 7.8 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.191
λ Away (xG)
0.822
Total xG
2.013
League avg home goals
1.262
League avg away goals
0.919
Bahia attack strength
1.067
Bahia defence strength
0.946
Atletico-MG attack strength
0.946
Atletico-MG defence strength
0.884
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
50 / 50