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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Atletico-MG Win
48%
2.09
31%
3.21
21%
4.75
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
18.8%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
16.2%
Draw
1 – 1
12.4%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.16
Atletico-MG xG
Total xG
1.82
0.66
Sport Recife xG
Atletico-MGDrawSport Recife
2.09
48%
Home win
3.21
31%
Draw
4.75
21%
Away win
Goals Markets
54%
Over 1.5
1.85
46%
Under 1.5
2.17
28%
Over 2.5
3.57
72%
Under 2.5
1.39
11%
Over 3.5
9.09
89%
Under 3.5
1.12
4%
Over 4.5
25.00
96%
Under 4.5
1.04
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
33%
BTTS Yes
3.01
67%
BTTS No
1.50
Clean Sheet
52%
1.94
31%
3.19
Win to Nil
25%
4.06
7%
15.16
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.2 | 10.7 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 18.8 | 12.4 | 4.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 10.9 | 7.2 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 4 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.160
λ Away (xG)
0.662
Total xG
1.822
League avg home goals
1.398
League avg away goals
1.017
Atletico-MG attack strength
0.785
Atletico-MG defence strength
0.918
Sport Recife attack strength
0.709
Sport Recife defence strength
1.058
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
63 / 25