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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Atletico-MG Win
57%
1.76
25%
3.98
18%
5.52
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.8%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
11.8%
Home win
1 – 1
11.6%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.60
Atletico-MG xG
Total xG
2.38
0.78
Gremio xG
Atletico-MGDrawGremio
1.76
57%
Home win
3.98
25%
Draw
5.52
18%
Away win
Goals Markets
69%
Over 1.5
1.45
31%
Under 1.5
3.23
42%
Over 2.5
2.38
58%
Under 2.5
1.72
22%
Over 3.5
4.55
78%
Under 3.5
1.28
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
43%
BTTS Yes
2.31
57%
BTTS No
1.76
Clean Sheet
46%
2.18
20%
4.94
Win to Nil
26%
3.84
4%
27.28
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.3 | 7.2 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 14.8 | 11.6 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 11.8 | 9.2 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 6.3 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.597
λ Away (xG)
0.779
Total xG
2.376
League avg home goals
1.292
League avg away goals
1.053
Atletico-MG attack strength
1.085
Atletico-MG defence strength
0.894
Gremio attack strength
0.828
Gremio defence strength
1.139
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
55 / 56