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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Atletico-MG Win
54%
1.84
26%
3.89
20%
5.00
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.5%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.9%
Draw
2 – 0
11.2%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.54
Atletico-MG xG
Total xG
2.36
0.82
Bahia xG
Atletico-MGDrawBahia
1.84
54%
Home win
3.89
26%
Draw
5.00
20%
Away win
Goals Markets
68%
Over 1.5
1.47
32%
Under 1.5
3.12
42%
Over 2.5
2.38
58%
Under 2.5
1.72
21%
Over 3.5
4.76
79%
Under 3.5
1.27
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
44%
BTTS Yes
2.27
56%
BTTS No
1.79
Clean Sheet
44%
2.27
21%
4.66
Win to Nil
24%
4.19
4%
23.30
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.4 | 7.8 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 14.5 | 11.9 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 11.2 | 9.2 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 5.7 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.539
λ Away (xG)
0.821
Total xG
2.360
League avg home goals
1.405
League avg away goals
0.943
Atletico-MG attack strength
0.904
Atletico-MG defence strength
0.930
Bahia attack strength
0.936
Bahia defence strength
1.212
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
68 / 69