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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Championship Group - 31

Kick-off

Sat 4 Apr 2026

19:45

Venue

Stade Joseph Marien

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union St. Gilloise Win

48%

Union St. Gilloise

2.09

27%

Draw

3.67

25%

St. Truiden

4.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

9.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Union St. Gilloise xG

Total xG

2.32

0.92

St. Truiden xG

48%
27%
25%
Union St. GilloiseDrawSt. Truiden

2.09

48%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

4.03

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

40%

Union St. Gilloise

2.52

25%

St. Truiden

4.04

Win to Nil

19%

Union St. Gilloise

5.25

6%

St. Truiden

16.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 9.1 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 13.7 12.7 5.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.6 8.9 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.5 4.1 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 1.6 1.4 0.7 0.2
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.397
λ Away (xG) 0.923
Total xG 2.320
League avg home goals 1.331
League avg away goals 1.321
Union St. Gilloise attack strength 1.196
Union St. Gilloise defence strength 0.608
St. Truiden attack strength 1.149
St. Truiden defence strength 0.878
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60