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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

19:45

Venue

Stade Joseph Marien

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union St. Gilloise Win

56%

Union St. Gilloise

1.80

26%

Draw

3.88

18%

KV Mechelen

5.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

2 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Union St. Gilloise xG

Total xG

2.41

0.81

KV Mechelen xG

56%
26%
18%
Union St. GilloiseDrawKV Mechelen

1.80

56%

Home win

3.88

26%

Draw

5.41

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

44%

Union St. Gilloise

2.25

20%

KV Mechelen

4.95

Win to Nil

25%

Union St. Gilloise

4.04

4%

KV Mechelen

26.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 7.3 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 14.4 11.6 4.7 1.3 0.3
2 11.5 9.3 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 6.1 5.0 2.0 0.5 0.1
4 2.5 2.0 0.8 0.2
5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.600
λ Away (xG) 0.810
Total xG 2.410
League avg home goals 1.308
League avg away goals 1.180
Union St. Gilloise attack strength 1.299
Union St. Gilloise defence strength 0.655
KV Mechelen attack strength 1.047
KV Mechelen defence strength 0.942
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50