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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 6 Dec 2025

17:15

Venue

Stade Joseph Marien

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union St. Gilloise Win

76%

Union St. Gilloise

1.32

16%

Draw

6.09

8%

Gent

12.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

3 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.35

Union St. Gilloise xG

Total xG

2.98

0.62

Gent xG

76%
16%
Union St. GilloiseDrawGent

1.32

76%

Home win

6.09

16%

Draw

12.85

8%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.36

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

54%

Union St. Gilloise

1.87

10%

Gent

10.51

Win to Nil

41%

Union St. Gilloise

2.46

1%

Gent

135.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 3.2 1.0 0.2
1 12.0 7.5 2.3 0.5 0.1
2 14.1 8.8 2.7 0.6 0.1
3 11.1 6.9 2.2 0.4 0.1
4 6.5 4.1 1.3 0.3
5 3.1 1.9 0.6 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.352
λ Away (xG) 0.624
Total xG 2.976
League avg home goals 1.288
League avg away goals 1.058
Union St. Gilloise attack strength 1.430
Union St. Gilloise defence strength 0.636
Gent attack strength 0.927
Gent defence strength 1.276
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46