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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

17:15

Venue

Stade Joseph Marien

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union St. Gilloise Win

61%

Union St. Gilloise

1.65

25%

Draw

3.99

14%

Dender

7.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.8%

Home win

0 – 0

10.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Union St. Gilloise xG

Total xG

2.22

0.63

Dender xG

61%
25%
14%
Union St. GilloiseDrawDender

1.65

61%

Home win

3.99

25%

Draw

7.01

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.68

63%

BTTS No

1.59

Clean Sheet

53%

Union St. Gilloise

1.87

20%

Dender

4.92

Win to Nil

32%

Union St. Gilloise

3.09

3%

Dender

34.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.9 6.8 2.1 0.4 0.1
1 17.3 10.8 3.4 0.7 0.1
2 13.8 8.6 2.7 0.6 0.1
3 7.3 4.6 1.4 0.3
4 2.9 1.8 0.6 0.1
5 0.9 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.593
λ Away (xG) 0.627
Total xG 2.220
League avg home goals 1.288
League avg away goals 1.287
Union St. Gilloise attack strength 1.232
Union St. Gilloise defence strength 0.636
Dender attack strength 0.766
Dender defence strength 1.004
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58