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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Fri 26 Dec 2025

17:30

Venue

Maurice Dufrasnestadion

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

St. Truiden Win

32%

Standard Liege

3.11

29%

Draw

3.47

39%

St. Truiden

2.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.5%

Away win

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

Standard Liege xG

Total xG

2.27

1.20

St. Truiden xG

32%
29%
39%
Standard LiegeDrawSt. Truiden

3.11

32%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

2.56

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.18

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

30%

Standard Liege

3.33

35%

St. Truiden

2.90

Win to Nil

10%

Standard Liege

10.33

13%

St. Truiden

7.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 12.5 7.5 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 11.0 13.3 8.0 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 5.9 7.1 4.2 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.1 2.5 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.064
λ Away (xG) 1.202
Total xG 2.266
League avg home goals 1.331
League avg away goals 1.149
Standard Liege attack strength 0.814
Standard Liege defence strength 0.929
St. Truiden attack strength 1.125
St. Truiden defence strength 0.982
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49