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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Conference League Group - 38

Kick-off

Sat 16 May 2026

17:15

Venue

Maurice Dufrasnestadion

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Genk Win

36%

Standard Liege

2.79

24%

Draw

4.12

40%

Genk

2.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.7%

Away win

2 – 1

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Standard Liege xG

Total xG

3.00

1.55

Genk xG

36%
24%
40%
Standard LiegeDrawGenk

2.79

36%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

2.51

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.52

Clean Sheet

21%

Standard Liege

4.69

23%

Genk

4.28

Win to Nil

8%

Standard Liege

13.09

9%

Genk

10.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 7.7 5.9 3.1 1.2 0.4
1 7.2 11.2 8.7 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 5.3 8.1 6.3 3.2 1.3 0.4
3 2.6 3.9 3.0 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.9 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.454
λ Away (xG) 1.546
Total xG 3.000
League avg home goals 1.332
League avg away goals 1.321
Standard Liege attack strength 0.812
Standard Liege defence strength 0.920
Genk attack strength 1.272
Genk defence strength 1.345
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60