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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Fri 14 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade Maurice Dufrasne

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

35%

Standard Liege

2.82

36%

Draw

2.75

28%

Genk

3.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

12.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Standard Liege xG

Total xG

2.10

0.98

Genk xG

35%
36%
28%
Standard LiegeDrawGenk

2.82

35%

Home win

2.75

36%

Draw

3.54

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

38%

Standard Liege

2.66

33%

Genk

3.06

Win to Nil

13%

Standard Liege

7.52

9%

Genk

10.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.3 12.0 5.9 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 13.7 13.4 6.6 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 7.7 7.5 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 2.9 2.8 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.119
λ Away (xG) 0.980
Total xG 2.099
League avg home goals 1.541
League avg away goals 1.091
Standard Liege attack strength 0.736
Standard Liege defence strength 0.743
Genk attack strength 1.209
Genk defence strength 0.987
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55