Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Conference League Play-off Group - 7

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

12:30

Venue

Stade Maurice Dufrasne

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Standard Liege Win

34%

Standard Liege

2.90

34%

Draw

2.94

32%

Charleroi

3.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

0 – 1

12.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Standard Liege xG

Total xG

2.18

1.06

Charleroi xG

34%
34%
32%
Standard LiegeDrawCharleroi

2.90

34%

Home win

2.94

34%

Draw

3.17

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

35%

Standard Liege

2.89

33%

Charleroi

3.06

Win to Nil

12%

Standard Liege

8.38

10%

Charleroi

9.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.3 12.0 6.4 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 12.7 13.4 7.1 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.1 7.5 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 2.6 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.117
λ Away (xG) 1.060
Total xG 2.177
League avg home goals 1.472
League avg away goals 1.113
Standard Liege attack strength 0.717
Standard Liege defence strength 0.884
Charleroi attack strength 1.078
Charleroi defence strength 1.058
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60