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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Relegation Round - 5

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

15:00

Venue

Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

St. Truiden Win

63%

St. Truiden

1.58

24%

Draw

4.26

13%

Beerschot VA

7.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.06

St. Truiden xG

Total xG

2.94

0.88

Beerschot VA xG

63%
24%
13%
St. TruidenDrawBeerschot VA

1.58

63%

Home win

4.26

24%

Draw

7.47

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

42%

St. Truiden

2.41

13%

Beerschot VA

7.88

Win to Nil

26%

St. Truiden

3.82

2%

Beerschot VA

58.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 4.6 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 10.9 9.6 4.2 1.2 0.3
2 11.2 9.9 4.3 1.3 0.3
3 7.7 6.8 3.0 0.9 0.2
4 4.0 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.6 1.4 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.064
λ Away (xG) 0.879
Total xG 2.943
League avg home goals 1.472
League avg away goals 1.113
St. Truiden attack strength 1.105
St. Truiden defence strength 1.117
Beerschot VA attack strength 0.707
Beerschot VA defence strength 1.270
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 30