RAAL La Louvière 0-2 Zulte Waregem – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates RAAL La Louvière at 41% — neither recent form nor the head-to-head data gives a clear steer either way as RAAL La Louvière face Zulte Waregem.
✍️ Match Preview
Full Analysis
Easi Arena plays host to RAAL La Louvière versus Zulte Waregem in Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group - 33). Kick-off: Sunday 19 April 2026 at 19:15 UK time.
Form
RAAL La Louvière (all games): 1W 5D 4L across their last 10 — 0.80 PPG. Last five: D W D L L. They are averaging 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.60 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings (20%).
RAAL La Louvière's form when playing at home: 1W 4D 5L across their last 10 home games (0.70 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game.
Zulte Waregem have collected 1.00 PPG across their last 10 games: 3W 1D 6L. Last five: L L W D W. Their scoring rate of 1.10 per game is modest, conceding 1.60 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings (20%).
Zulte Waregem's form when playing away from home: 1W 3D 6L across their last 10 road games (0.60 PPG). Away from home they average 1.20 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
Both sides are running at similar form levels — 0.80 PPG for RAAL La Louvière against 1.00 for Zulte Waregem. There is no clear form edge to exploit here; other signals need to take the lead.
H2H Analysis
The head-to-head record is closely matched — across the 4 H2H matches in our data, Zulte Waregem edge it 1 wins to 0, with 3 draws. Neither side has a commanding advantage.
Goals have been at a premium in this fixture — just 1.8 per game across the 4 H2H matches we hold, giving Under 2.5 a clear head-to-head base rate. The most recent of those, on 13 Dec 2025, ended RAAL La Louvière 2–2 Zulte Waregem — a draw.
With a balanced win record and just 1.8 goals per game, the H2H data points toward a tight, low-scoring contest — Under 2.5 is the stronger head-to-head angle regardless of which side wins.
Trading Data
RAAL La Louvière goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (last 61 games, 30 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 60% of their matches in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 48% of the time; of the 14 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 43%; BTTS occurs in 43% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 37% of games (home games).
Zulte Waregem goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (last 61 games, 30 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 73% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 71% of the time; of the 15 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 40%; BTTS occurs in 67% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 60% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 41%.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — RAAL La Louvière 56% versus Zulte Waregem 64%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (RAAL La Louvière 48% | Zulte Waregem 59%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects RAAL La Louvière 1.50 xG and Zulte Waregem 1.35 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: RAAL La Louvière attack 0.852 / defence 1.181 | Zulte Waregem attack 0.864 / defence 1.327. League average goals — home 1.331 / away 1.321. Zulte Waregem's defence rating of 1.327 (above 1 = concedes more than average) is pushing RAAL La Louvière's projected output up. Data: built from RAAL La Louvière's last 30 games and Zulte Waregem's last 30.
Result probabilities: RAAL La Louvière 41% | Draw 25% | Zulte Waregem 34%. Fair-value odds: RAAL La Louvière 2.43 | Draw 4.01 | Zulte Waregem 2.94. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome reaches 45%. The draw at 25% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 54% | BTTS Yes probability 58% | Total xG 2.85. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 54%/46% — the total xG of 2.85 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS Yes at 58% is only a slight lean — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates RAAL La Louvière as the most likely outcome at 41% — marginal model lean. Draw probability of 25% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on RAAL La Louvière if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 34% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 2.85 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 54% — mixed conviction, supported by recent form (RAAL La Louvière's last 10 home games and Zulte Waregem's last 10 away games) averaging 2.8 goals per game — though the H2H data averaging only 1.8 goals per game across 4 H2H matches points the other way.
Poisson assigns a 58% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate — both teams scored in: RAAL La Louvière 50% (last 10 home games) | Zulte Waregem 70% (last 10 away games).
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem | Competition: Jupiler Pro League, Relegation Group - 33 | Venue: Easi Arena • Kick-off: Sunday 19 April 2026 at 19:15 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: RAAL La Louvière 41% | Draw 25% | Zulte Waregem 34% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 54% (Under 46%) | BTTS Yes 58% (No 42%) | xG RAAL La Louvière 1.50 / Zulte Waregem 1.35 • Poisson strength factors: RAAL La Louvière attack 0.852 / def 1.181 | Zulte Waregem attack 0.864 / def 1.327 | league avg home 1.331 / away 1.321 • Poisson stance: RAAL La Louvière (41%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.50
RAAL La Louvière xG
Expected Goals
1.35
Zulte Waregem xG
58%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
54%
Over 2.5
32%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem FAQs
What time does RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem kick off?
RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem kicked off at 19:15 UK time on Sunday 19 April 2026 at Easi Arena.
What was the final score in RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem?
RAAL La Louvière 0 - 2 Zulte Waregem.
Where is RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem being played?
The match is being played at Easi Arena.
What competition is RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem part of?
RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem is a Jupiler Pro League fixture (Relegation Group - 33) (Belgium).
Who is favourite to win RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem?
Our statistical model gives RAAL La Louvière a 41% chance of winning, Zulte Waregem a 34% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw — making RAAL La Louvière the favourite.
Will both teams score in RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem?
Our model estimates a 58% probability that both RAAL La Louvière and Zulte Waregem will score, so it leans towards BTTS Yes.
Will RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 54%, so it leans towards over 2.5 goals.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
The model rates RAAL La Louvière's attack at 0.85x the league average against Zulte Waregem's defence at 1.33x — combine the two and it projects 1.50 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — Zulte Waregem's attack (0.86x) against RAAL La Louvière's defence (1.18x) — and the away total comes out at 1.35.
These ratings are built from RAAL La Louvière's last 30 games and Zulte Waregem's last 30 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 13.2% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 2-1 (8.8%), 1-2 (7.9%). Together the top three scorelines make up 30% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
RAAL La Louvière Win
41%
2.43
25%
4.01
34%
2.94
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.7%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.8%
Home win
1 – 0
8.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.50
RAAL La Louvière xG
Total xG
2.85
1.35
Zulte Waregem xG
2.43
41%
Home win
4.01
25%
Draw
2.94
34%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
54%
Over 2.5
1.85
46%
Under 2.5
2.17
32%
Over 3.5
3.12
68%
Under 3.5
1.47
16%
Over 4.5
6.25
84%
Under 4.5
1.19
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
58%
BTTS Yes
1.74
42%
BTTS No
2.36
Clean Sheet
26%
3.85
22%
4.50
Win to Nil
11%
9.37
8%
13.25
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8 | 7.8 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 8.7 | 11.7 | 7.9 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.5 | 8.8 | 5.9 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.3 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.2%.
How many goals are RAAL La Louvière and Zulte Waregem expected to score?
The model projects 1.50 expected goals for RAAL La Louvière and 1.35 for Zulte Waregem, a combined total of 2.85.
How confident is the prediction model for RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 41%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Across their last 61 outings, RAAL La Louvière have picked up 1.52 PPG on a 24W 21D 16L record — D-W-D-L-L across the most recent five.
Zulte Waregem's form line: 27W 15D 19L from 61 games, 1.57 PPG, last five L-L-W-D-W.
There isn't much between them on recent form — 1.52 PPG for RAAL La Louvière against 1.57 for Zulte Waregem. Neither side arrives with a clear form advantage.
Home & Away Splits
On home soil, RAAL La Louvière have posted 1.57 PPG from their last 30 home games (12W 11D 7L).
On the road, Zulte Waregem have gone 10W 9D 11L from their last 30 away games — 1.30 PPG when travelling.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
RAAL La Louvière are averaging 1.34 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game recently; Zulte Waregem are on 1.62 scored and 1.34 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Zulte Waregem in 64%.
Last 61 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
RAAL La Louvière
Current Season
Zulte Waregem
Current Season
RAAL La Louvière (Home) vs Zulte Waregem (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
RAAL La Louvière
Current Season
Zulte Waregem
Current Season
❓ RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem Form FAQs
What form are RAAL La Louvière and Zulte Waregem in coming into this match?
RAAL La Louvière have gone 24W 21D 16L in their last 61 games (1.52 PPG), while Zulte Waregem have gone 27W 15D 19L in their last 61 (1.57 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — RAAL La Louvière at home or Zulte Waregem away?
RAAL La Louvière's home record (1.57 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — RAAL La Louvière at home: 1.57 PPG; Zulte Waregem away: 1.30 PPG.
Have RAAL La Louvière or Zulte Waregem been keeping clean sheets recently?
RAAL La Louvière have kept a clean sheet in 33% of their recent games, Zulte Waregem in 21%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
We have 7 H2H matches between these sides on record, dating back to November 2024 — enough to show some patterns. They cover more than one competition — Challenger Pro League, Jupiler Pro League. The most recent was as recently as 24 October 2026, so it is a fresh reference point.
Records & Recent Trends
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Zulte Waregem won Zulte Waregem 4-0 RAAL La Louvière on 26 Apr 2026, the biggest margin in the H2H matches we hold.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, RAAL La Louvière have gone 1W 2D 1L from the 4 H2H matches in our data played on their own ground against Zulte Waregem — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 7 Meetings
1
RAAL La Louvière
3
Draws
3
Zulte Waregem
Recent Meetings
❓ RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between RAAL La Louvière and Zulte Waregem?
Across the 7 head-to-head matches in our data, RAAL La Louvière have won 1, Zulte Waregem have won 3, and 3 have been drawn.
When did RAAL La Louvière and Zulte Waregem last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 24 October 2026: RAAL La Louvière 3-0 Zulte Waregem.
Who has won more matches between RAAL La Louvière and Zulte Waregem?
Zulte Waregem have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from the 7 head-to-head matches in our data.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
RAAL La Louvière are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 60% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 37% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 18% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 50% of those situations.
Zulte Waregem are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 73% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 29% of those situations.
Goals & Clean Sheets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — RAAL La Louvière 43%, Zulte Waregem 67% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 37% (RAAL La Louvière) and 60% (Zulte Waregem).
On the defensive side: RAAL La Louvière keep a clean sheet in 40% of their matches; RAAL La Louvière have failed to score in 40% of games; Zulte Waregem in 27%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = RAAL La Louvière home games / Zulte Waregem away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in RAAL La Louvière and Zulte Waregem matches?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 43% of RAAL La Louvière's games and 67% of Zulte Waregem's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Are RAAL La Louvière and Zulte Waregem matches usually high-scoring?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 37% of RAAL La Louvière's recent games and 60% of Zulte Waregem's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do RAAL La Louvière and Zulte Waregem matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 60% of RAAL La Louvière's recent matches and 73% of Zulte Waregem's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Zulte Waregem cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over RAAL La Louvière.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Zulte Waregem beat RAAL La Louvière 0-2 at Easi Arena, Relegation Group - 33, in the Jupiler Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting RAAL La Louvière 1.50 xG and Zulte Waregem 1.35 xG, a combined 2.85. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. RAAL La Louvière fell 1.5 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of RAAL La Louvière attack 0.85 / defence 1.18 against Zulte Waregem attack 0.86 / defence 1.33, drawn from 30/30 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it RAAL La Louvière 41% | Draw 25% | Zulte Waregem 34%, with RAAL La Louvière to win its most likely call at 41%. The actual Zulte Waregem win had been the model's second-ranked read at 34%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 54%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 78% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 58% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 53% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (RAAL La Louvière 48%, Zulte Waregem 59%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 60%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
RAAL La Louvière's trading profile (61 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, and conceded here; they fail to score in 30% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Zulte Waregem's trading profile (61 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 64% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — RAAL La Louvière 1.52 PPG, Zulte Waregem 1.57 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Zulte Waregem win broke the near-deadlock. RAAL La Louvière (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.30 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 2 against a 0.93 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Zulte Waregem (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.47 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.