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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

17:30

Venue

King Power at Den Dreef Stadion

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

OH Leuven Win

51%

OH Leuven

1.95

31%

Draw

3.18

17%

St. Truiden

5.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

2 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

OH Leuven xG

Total xG

2.20

0.75

St. Truiden xG

51%
31%
17%
OH LeuvenDrawSt. Truiden

1.95

51%

Home win

3.18

31%

Draw

5.80

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.34

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

47%

OH Leuven

2.13

24%

St. Truiden

4.24

Win to Nil

24%

OH Leuven

4.15

4%

St. Truiden

24.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.1 8.4 3.2 0.8 0.1
1 16.0 12.1 4.6 1.1 0.2
2 11.6 8.7 3.3 0.8 0.2
3 5.6 4.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 2.0 1.5 0.6 0.1
5 0.6 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.445
λ Away (xG) 0.754
Total xG 2.199
League avg home goals 1.442
League avg away goals 1.092
OH Leuven attack strength 0.808
OH Leuven defence strength 0.711
St. Truiden attack strength 0.971
St. Truiden defence strength 1.240
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59